Leading Through Ambiguity When the Future Can't Be Forecast
When large capital projects face contested meaning and turbulent fields, more forecasting will not restore clarity. This essay shows how to diagnose ambiguity versus uncertainty, sort contextual from transactional issues, and use scenario planning as a service to decision readiness — ideas drawn from the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach, applied as transfer to capital projects.
January 15, 2026·20 min read