Field notes on claims, airports, megaproject controls, and applied AI.
Showing 4 articles tagged Front-End Discipline · View all 36
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Structure and test once the decision question is owned: hypothesis, Quick and Dirty Test, MECE issue trees, pruned work plans and ghost charts for owner teams on large capital projects — before PowerPoint takes over.
June 11, 2025·20 min read
When large capital projects face contested meaning and turbulent fields, more forecasting will not restore clarity. This essay shows how to diagnose ambiguity versus uncertainty, sort contextual from transactional issues, and use scenario planning as a service to decision readiness — ideas drawn from the Oxford Scenario Planning Approach, applied as transfer to capital projects.
January 15, 2026·20 min read
Why large capital project forecasts stay optimistic when teams live inside the case — and how reference-class forecasting restores an outside view before commitment hardens.
December 4, 2025·19 min read
When surprise hits a large capital project, contracts and gate checklists are not enough. This essay synthesizes how sponsors build governability — reserves, triggers, flexibility and generativity — so the coalition can still act together.
August 13, 2025·20 min read
